HORSES TO BACK - Use for ALL races
CRITERIA |
EXCEPTION and BONUSES (max) |
With no ratings (mid-week): 1000 - 1200 1300 - 1400 1500 - 1600 1700 - 1900 2000 - 2400 |
First inclusion should be horses who have won at the T/D or trained at track. Up 2 Up 3 Up 4 Up 5 |
| 1. Rate most recent run except ... | If unlucky, came from a wide barrier, was run at MV ... And IGNORE runs on Cushion Tracks - rate highly if TRAINED THERE. |
| 2. UP | * UP <= R_UP ** If UP = 3 ** If Up = 1 - Max for good 1st up record - add a bonus for each trial |
| 3. FRESHENED | ** MUST include F1 where freshened and freshened again * Especially F2 - MUST include all F2 - rate for Track and Distance and Ideal ** Bonus for good 1st up record if F1 |
| 4. UNLUCKY | ** Last run. Especially BLOCKED FOR A RUN, RAN WIDE and Unlucky at same T/D |
| 5. LET_UP | ** Max for 2nd up Let_Up |
| 6.DISTANCE | ** Include horses with best record at this distance or not run this distance |
| 7. TRACK/DISTANCE | ** Next best |
| 8. TRACK record is very important. | ** Applies to ALL tracks but especially tracks like MV. |
| 9. MARGINS | *** Both 1st and 2nd - adjust for class |
| 10. IDEAL | * Seems to matter a lot. Favour horses who ran last clean run at or around ideal distance |
| 11. LEADER | ** Max for ideal (eg. 1500 to 1400, 1200 to 1100 |
| 12. Class | * Especially Unlucky in higher class |
| 13. Handy | * Favour handy runners over backmarkers - depending upon number of starters and expected pace |
| 14. Weight | * Include any horse with a SIGNIFICANT weight drop |
| 15. CONDITION | ** Use record |
| 16. BEATEN | *** Subtract bonus for Beaten (0 - 2), (2 - 4), 4+ |
| 17. PLACE | *** Max for 1st and 2nd, then down scale |
| 18. JOCKEY | *** Max only for weakest to best |
